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Sao Gerardo U20 vs CA Cearense U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Gerardo U20 play CA Cearense U20 in the Cearense U20 2024. Sao Gerardo U20 are favorites here. Recently, Sao Gerardo U20 averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1 conceded. CA Cearense U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Gerardo U20 won 1, CA Cearense U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 20, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Sao Gerardo U20 and 1.00 for CA Cearense U20. This points to a Sao Gerardo U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sao Gerardo U20
24%
Draws
19%
CA Cearense U20
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Sao Gerardo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Gerardo U20 picked up more points recently compared to CA Cearense U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Sao Gerardo U20 Clean Sheet 23%
CA Cearense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Gerardo U20 CA Cearense U20
Matches Played 9 8
Wins 4 1
Draws 2 2
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 1.67 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Cearense U20
Sao Gerardo U20 vs CA Cearense U20
1:0
Jun 15, 2024 Cearense U20
CA Cearense U20 vs Sao Gerardo U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Gerardo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

CA Cearense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Gerardo U20 56 / 100
CA Cearense U20 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Gerardo U20 CA Cearense U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Gerardo U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sao Gerardo U20 & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +23.2%
3.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Gerardo U20 attacking → ← attacking CA Cearense U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Gerardo U20 scored in 67% of their last 9 games.

CA Cearense U20 let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Sao Gerardo U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CA Cearense U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 5
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Acopiara U20862020:320
2Iguatu U20842215:1114
3Icasa U2083056:139
4Crato U2082247:128
5Cariri FC U2081254:135
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Juventus CE U20870117:721
2Santa Cruz CE U20850316:615
3Sao Gerardo U20842215:814
4CA Cearense U2081258:125
5Alvinegro U2080266:292
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ceara U20861127:919
2Tirol U20860215:818
3Atletico Cearense U2083149:1210
4Alianca Futebol Clube U2081347:146
5Tiradentes U2080356:213
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fortaleza U20871036:622
2Ferroviario U20841317:1113
3Itapipoca U20841311:1013
4Caucaia U20830511:159
5Terra e Mar U2080171:341
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Horizonte U20641113:913
2Floresta EC U2062228:68
3Pacatuba U20622210:98
4Itarema U2061143:104