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Stadium Background

Sao Goncalo vs Audax RJ

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Aldair
48' Event
Santos Vallim G.
90' Event
Patrickao

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Sao Goncalo and Audax RJ finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Goncalo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sao Goncalo
6%
Draws
4%
Audax RJ
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Goncalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Goncalo come out ahead of Audax RJ on wins alone.
  • Sao Goncalo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sao Goncalo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%
Audax RJ Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Goncalo Audax RJ
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Audax RJ
2:1
Jun 14, 2025 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs Sao Goncalo
0:0
Nov 21, 2020 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Audax RJ
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Goncalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Aldair
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patrickao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Audax RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos Vallim G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Goncalo 95 / 100
Audax RJ 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Goncalo Audax RJ

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Sao Goncalo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sao Goncalo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Audax RJ conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Audax RJ registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Goncalo VS Audax RJ
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Americano1181218:925
2Marica1173111:724
3Resende1154216:919
4America RJ1151518:1416
5Perolas Negras1151511:1516
6Sao Goncalo1142511:1014
7Bonsucesso1142510:1114
8Olaria1134411:1113
9Cabofriense1133512:1312
10CEAC/Araruama1132611:1511
11Serrano FC1125410:1811
12Audax RJ1130810:179