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Sao Goncalo vs Artsul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Sao Goncalo Logo

Sao Goncalo

0 - 1
FT
Artsul Logo

Artsul

Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Ze Felipe
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Artsul in this Carioca B1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Artsul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sao Goncalo
35%
Draws
32%
Artsul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Artsul lately — more wins on the board than Sao Goncalo.
  • Win probability leans Sao Goncalo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%
Artsul Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Goncalo Artsul
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2024 Carioca B1
Sao Goncalo vs Artsul
0:1
Sep 27, 2020 Carioca 2
Artsul vs Sao Goncalo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Goncalo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.53

Artsul Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Felipe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Goncalo 68 / 100
Artsul 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Goncalo Artsul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Goncalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Sao Goncalo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sao Goncalo's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Artsul conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Goncalo VS Artsul
1.25 Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Goncalo

(Home)
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0
Sao Goncalo
05 Aug
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0
Sao Goncalo
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
Page 1 of 6

Artsul

(Away)
03 Oct
Artsul
3 : 4
Serrano FC
26 Sept
Macae
0 : 0
Artsul
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artsul 8 5 1 2 10:5 16
2 Paduano EC 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
3 Sao Goncalo 8 3 4 1 10:2 13
4 Perolas Negras 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
5 Friburguense 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
6 Nova Cidade 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
7 Sao Cristovao 8 2 1 5 3:9 7
8 Serrano FC 8 1 3 4 5:9 6
9 Belford Roxo 8 0 6 2 5:10 6
Promotion - Carioca B1 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2024 (Main)