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Sao Goncalo vs Cabofriense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ferreira A.
32' Event
Hugo Cabral

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Sao Goncalo and Cabofriense finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cabofriense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sao Goncalo
35%
Draws
13%
Cabofriense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sao Goncalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Goncalo come out ahead of Cabofriense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sao Goncalo a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Goncalo Cabofriense
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.93 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Cabofriense
0:2
Jun 8, 2025 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Cabofriense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Goncalo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cabofriense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hugo Cabral
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Goncalo 95 / 100
Cabofriense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Goncalo Cabofriense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Goncalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabofriense let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sao Goncalo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Cabofriense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Goncalo VS Cabofriense
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Goncalo

(Home)
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0
Sao Goncalo
05 Aug
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0
Sao Goncalo
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
Page 1 of 6

Cabofriense

(Away)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)