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Sao Goncalo vs CEAC/Araruama

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025
Sun, Aug 10, 2025
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Goncalo host CEAC/Araruama in the Carioca 2 2025. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Sao Goncalo have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against CEAC/Araruama's 0.63 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor CEAC/Araruama slightly — 0-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.69) point toward CEAC/Araruama. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sao Goncalo
17%
Draws
13%
CEAC/Araruama
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sao Goncalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CEAC/Araruama lately — more wins on the board than Sao Goncalo.
  • Model gives Sao Goncalo a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 20%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Goncalo CEAC/Araruama
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs CEAC/Araruama
0:0
Aug 3, 2025 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo
0:0
Jul 12, 2025 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Goncalo 67 / 100
CEAC/Araruama 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Goncalo CEAC/Araruama

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sao Goncalo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sao Goncalo found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (26 games).

Defensive concern: CEAC/Araruama conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sao Goncalo VS CEAC/Araruama
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sao Goncalo3
Olaria0
Bangu1
CEAC/Araruama0
Final
Sao Goncalo1
Bangu3