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Sao Goncalo vs Paduano EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Anderson Fernandes S.
60' Event
Rodriguinho

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sao Goncalo
35%
Draws
32%
Paduano EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paduano EC come out ahead of Sao Goncalo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Paduano EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%
Paduano EC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Goncalo Paduano EC
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.71 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2024 Carioca B1
Paduano EC vs Sao Goncalo
0:1
Nov 17, 2024 Carioca B1
Sao Goncalo vs Paduano EC
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Carioca B1
Sao Goncalo vs Paduano EC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Goncalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Paduano EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson Fernandes S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Goncalo 41 / 100
Paduano EC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Goncalo Paduano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Goncalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paduano EC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Sao Goncalo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sao Goncalo scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sao Goncalo VS Paduano EC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Goncalo

(Home)
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0
Sao Goncalo
05 Aug
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0
Sao Goncalo
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
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Paduano EC

(Away)
06 Oct
Friburguense
1 : 0
Paduano EC
01 Oct
Paduano EC
1 : 1
Campos AA
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Artsul 2
Perolas Negras 3
Paduano EC 1
Sao Goncalo 2
Final
Perolas Negras 2
Sao Goncalo 3