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Sao Joao de Ver vs AD Marco 09

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estádio Clube de São João de Ver
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Silva D.
11'
Pedro P.
12'
Silva D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Sao Joao de Ver and AD Marco 09 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sao Joao de Ver
20%
Draws
38%
AD Marco 09
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Joao de Ver

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Marco 09 come out ahead of Sao Joao de Ver on wins alone.
  • Sao Joao de Ver are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 20%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joao de Ver AD Marco 09
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs AD Marco 09
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga 3
AD Marco 09 vs Sao Joao de Ver
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Liga 3
AD Marco 09 vs Sao Joao de Ver
2:1
Sep 24, 2025 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs AD Marco 09
0:0
Feb 11, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
AD Marco 09 vs Sao Joao de Ver
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joao de Ver 42 / 100
AD Marco 09 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joao de Ver AD Marco 09

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Marco 09's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Sao Joao de Ver remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Sao Joao de Ver scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joao de Ver VS AD Marco 09
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%