Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Joao de Ver vs Sanjoanense

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio Clube de São João de Ver, Aveiro
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Serra A.
Assist: Andrezinho
9'
Martins J.
15' Event
Rai Nascimento
Assist: Pereira N.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Sao Joao de Ver and Sanjoanense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Joao de Ver.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Sao Joao de Ver
30%
Draws
58%
Sanjoanense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sanjoanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Joao de Ver carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sanjoanense a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 22%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joao de Ver Sanjoanense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1.23
Goals Conceded 1 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs Sanjoanense
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao de Ver
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs Sanjoanense
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao de Ver
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao de Ver
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Joao de Ver Compare

Top Goalscorer Rai Nascimento
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ca L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sanjoanense Compare

Top Goalscorer Serra A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joao de Ver 10 / 100
Sanjoanense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joao de Ver Sanjoanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanjoanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Sao Joao de Ver found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Sao Joao de Ver went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joao de Ver VS Sanjoanense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Joao de Ver

(Home)
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
16 Aug
Sao Joao de Ver
1 : 3
AD Fafe
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Sanjoanense

(Away)
20 Sept
Anca
1 : 4
Sanjoanense
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0
Pacos de Brandao
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
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