Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Joao de Ver vs Valadares Gaia FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Lima M.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Zakari B.
43' Event
Claro A.

AI Match Summary

Sao Joao de Ver in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Joao de Ver.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sao Joao de Ver
6%
Draws
4%
Valadares Gaia FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Joao de Ver

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Joao de Ver lately — more wins on the board than Valadares Gaia FC.
  • Sao Joao de Ver are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 68%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joao de Ver Valadares Gaia FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Valadares Gaia FC vs Sao Joao de Ver
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sao Joao de Ver vs Valadares Gaia FC
4:1
Feb 21, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sao Joao de Ver vs Valadares Gaia FC
0:0
Dec 13, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Valadares Gaia FC vs Sao Joao de Ver
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Joao de Ver Compare

Top Goalscorer Claro A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomazi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Valadares Gaia FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakari B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joao de Ver 95 / 100
Valadares Gaia FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joao de Ver Valadares Gaia FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valadares Gaia FC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Sao Joao de Ver's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sao Joao de Ver remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joao de Ver VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Joao de Ver

(Home)
29 Jul
Tondela
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
18 Jul
Uniao Lamas
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
03 Jul
Braga
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
03 May
Sao Joao de Ver
2 : 1
Sanjoanense
28 Apr
AD Fafe
1 : 2
Sao Joao de Ver
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Valadares Gaia FC

(Away)
07 Apr
SC Salgueiros
6 : 1
Valadares Gaia FC
24 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 1
ACDR Lamelas
17 Mar
Vila Mea
3 : 3
Valadares Gaia FC
09 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
03 Mar
Florgrade
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amarante FC26178140:1559
2Sao Joao de Ver26129527:1845
3Gondomar26127728:2043
4AD Marco 0926118729:2241
5Rebordosa26812627:2336
6Paredes2698931:2535
7SC Salgueiros2698935:2635
8Vitoria Guimaraes B26810835:3234
9Beira Mar26810831:3134
10Florgrade2689924:2433
11Oliveira do Douro26681225:3326
12Valadares Gaia FC26661422:4724
13ACDR Lamelas26731619:3924
14Vila Mea26641627:4522
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)