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Sao Jose EC U20 vs EC Sao Bernardo U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
Sao Jose EC U20 Logo

Sao Jose EC U20

0 - 2
FT
EC Sao Bernardo U20 Logo

EC Sao Bernardo U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sao Jose EC U20 play EC Sao Bernardo U20 in the Paulista U20 2025. EC Sao Bernardo U20 are favorites here. Recently, Sao Jose EC U20 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. EC Sao Bernardo U20 averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Jose EC U20 won 0, EC Sao Bernardo U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 6, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.18 for Sao Jose EC U20 and 1.50 for EC Sao Bernardo U20. This points to a EC Sao Bernardo U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sao Jose EC U20
21%
Draws
56%
EC Sao Bernardo U20
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: EC Sao Bernardo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Jose EC U20 picked up more points recently compared to EC Sao Bernardo U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.18 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Sao Jose EC U20 Clean Sheet 16%
EC Sao Bernardo U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose EC U20 EC Sao Bernardo U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 Paulista U20
Sao Jose EC U20 vs EC Sao Bernardo U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Jose EC U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

EC Sao Bernardo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vieira D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunes I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose EC U20 24 / 100
EC Sao Bernardo U20 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose EC U20 EC Sao Bernardo U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Sao Bernardo U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick EC Sao Bernardo U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Jose EC U20 attacking → ← attacking EC Sao Bernardo U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose EC U20 scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

EC Sao Bernardo U20 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sao Jose EC U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

EC Sao Bernardo U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 46
0.86 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U2015121261:1137
2Bragantino U2015112236:1135
3Sao Paulo U2015112236:1335
4Guarani U2015111328:1334
5EC Sao Bernardo U2015110433:1333
6Novorizontino U2015103236:1633
7Portuguesa U201594233:1531
8Ituano U201593337:1230
9Ibrachina U201593331:1530
10Ferroviaria U201592429:1829
11Santos U201592429:1929
12CA Juventus U201592415:1029
13Corinthians U201592429:2529
14Uniao Suzano U201592423:1929
15Ponte Preta U201591533:1928
16Santo Andre U201581626:2625
17Osasco Sporting U201574422:1725
18Capivariano U201573523:1524
19XV de Jau U201571726:2322
20Piracicaba U201571719:1822
21Gremio Prudente U201564521:1522
22Portuguesa Santista U201564519:2122
23Mirassol U201563621:1321
24Osasco Audax U201563627:2521
25Sao Caetano U201563620:2321
26Referencia U201556425:2621
27Botafogo SP U201562725:2120
28Internacional de Limeira U201562720:1920
29Desportivo U201553722:2518
30Maua FC U201553713:1718
31Bandeirante U201553718:2518
32Itapirense U201553718:2618
33Sertaozinho U201552814:1717
34Tanabi U201544719:2416
35Agua Santa U201544720:2816
36Velo Clube U201544716:2616
37Sao Bento U201543817:2915
38Aguai U201543812:2515
39Jabaquara U201543816:3015
40Sfera U201542915:2314
41Flamengo SP U201542915:3214
42AC Guaratingueta U2015321012:3511
43Uniao Sao Joao U2015311113:3310
44Comercial FC - Tiete U2015301220:369
45Taubate U2015221110:338
46Sao Jose EC U2015131114:406
47Aracatuba FC U2015131114:486
48Rio Claro U201511138:464
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1EC Sao Bernardo U2015110433:1333
2Novorizontino U2015103236:1633
3Ferroviaria U201592429:1829
4Santos U201592429:1929
5CA Juventus U201592415:1029
6Ponte Preta U201591533:1928
7Mirassol U201563621:1321
8Osasco Audax U201563627:2521
9Sao Caetano U201563620:2321
10Internacional de Limeira U201562720:1920
11Itapirense U201553718:2618
12Velo Clube U201544716:2616
13Aguai U201543812:2515
14Sfera U201542915:2314
15Taubate U2015221110:338
16Sao Jose EC U2015131114:406
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U2015121261:1137
2Bragantino U2015112236:1135
3Portuguesa U201594233:1531
4Ituano U201593337:1230
5Corinthians U201592429:2529
6Uniao Suzano U201592423:1929
7Santo Andre U201581626:2625
8Referencia U201556425:2621
9Botafogo SP U201562725:2120
10Sertaozinho U201552814:1717
11Agua Santa U201544720:2816
12Sao Bento U201543817:2915
13Jabaquara U201543816:3015
14Uniao Sao Joao U2015311113:3310
15Aracatuba FC U2015131114:486
16Rio Claro U201511138:464
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Paulo U2015112236:1335
2Guarani U2015111328:1334
3Ibrachina U201593331:1530
4Osasco Sporting U201574422:1725
5Capivariano U201573523:1524
6XV de Jau U201571726:2322
7Piracicaba U201571719:1822
8Gremio Prudente U201564521:1522
9Portuguesa Santista U201564519:2122
10Desportivo U201553722:2518
11Maua FC U201553713:1718
12Bandeirante U201553718:2518
13Tanabi U201544719:2416
14Flamengo SP U201542915:3214
15AC Guaratingueta U2015321012:3511
16Comercial FC - Tiete U2015301220:369