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Sao Jose EC vs Ituano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2 Estadio Martins Pereira, Sao Jose dos Campos
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gabriel William
28' Event
Clessione
48' Event
Michael Paulista
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Sao Jose EC and Ituano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Jose EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sao Jose EC
30%
Draws
18%
Ituano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Jose EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Sao Jose EC taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 68%
Ituano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose EC Ituano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Ituano
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Paulista A2
Ituano vs Sao Jose EC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Jose EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Clessione
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ituano Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel William
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose EC 95 / 100
Ituano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose EC Ituano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sao Jose EC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sao Jose EC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Ituano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose EC VS Ituano
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Jose EC

(Home)
03 Oct
Sao Jose EC
1 : 0
Noroeste
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1
Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

Ituano

(Away)
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)