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Sao Jose EC vs Red Bull Brasil Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 2023 game between Sao Jose EC and Red Bull Brasil finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Jose EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sao Jose EC
35%
Draws
23%
Red Bull Brasil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Jose EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sao Jose EC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 20%
Red Bull Brasil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose EC Red Bull Brasil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2023 Paulista A3
Sao Jose EC vs Red Bull Brasil
1:0
Feb 5, 2014 Paulista A2
Red Bull Brasil vs Sao Jose EC
1:0
Jan 23, 2013 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Red Bull Brasil
1:0
Feb 4, 2012 Paulista A2
Red Bull Brasil vs Sao Jose EC
3:1
Mar 12, 2011 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Red Bull Brasil
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose EC 58 / 100
Red Bull Brasil 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose EC Red Bull Brasil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sao Jose EC scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Red Bull Brasil conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Sao Jose EC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose EC VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Jose EC

(Home)
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1
Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3
Sao Jose EC
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Red Bull Brasil

(Away)
18 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
5 : 0
Barretos EC
11 Mar
Gremio Prudente
2 : 0
Red Bull Brasil
08 Mar
Capivariano
1 : 1
Red Bull Brasil
04 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
2 : 3
EC Sao Bernardo
01 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
1 : 1
Itapirense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 15 9 2 4 25:15 29
2 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 13:12 27
3 Capivariano 15 7 6 2 28:11 27
4 Gremio Prudente 15 7 3 5 21:16 24
5 Desportivo 15 7 3 5 14:9 24
6 EC Sao Bernardo 15 7 1 7 17:16 22
7 Uniao Suzano 15 6 3 6 21:18 21
8 Matonense 15 6 2 7 21:18 20
9 Bandeirante 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Red Bull Brasil 15 5 4 6 24:23 19
11 Rio Preto EC 15 5 4 6 15:21 19
12 Itapirense 15 4 7 4 11:17 19
13 Votuporanguense 15 4 5 6 14:19 17
14 Sertaozinho 15 5 1 9 15:26 16
15 Barretos EC 15 4 4 7 18:29 16
16 Audax-SP 15 3 3 9 8:19 12
Promotion - Paulista A3 2023 (Second stage)