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Sao Jose EC vs Sao Caetano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sao Jose EC
35%
Draws
6%
Sao Caetano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Jose EC lately — more wins on the board than Sao Caetano.
  • Model gives Sao Jose EC a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Sao Jose EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Caetano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Caetano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose EC Sao Caetano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.45 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Sao Caetano
0:0
Jul 20, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Sao Jose EC
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Sao Caetano
1:2
Jun 21, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Sao Jose EC
0:2
Aug 19, 2023 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Sao Jose EC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose EC 85 / 100
Sao Caetano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose EC Sao Caetano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose EC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sao Jose EC's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sao Caetano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose EC VS Sao Caetano
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Jose EC

(Home)
03 Oct
Sao Jose EC
1 : 0
Noroeste
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1
Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
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Sao Caetano

(Away)
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Bandeirante 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
3 Gremio Prudente 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Marilia 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
2 Uniao Sao Joao 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
3 Comercial 6 2 1 3 8:7 7
4 Piracicaba 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus-SP 6 3 1 2 11:5 10
2 Primavera EC 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Paulista 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
4 Osasco Sporting 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo 6 3 0 3 12:8 9
3 Sao Caetano 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
4 Santo Andre 6 3 1 2 4:5 0
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)