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Sao Jose EC vs Sertaozinho Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2 Estadio Martins Pereira, Sao Jose dos Campos
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Prado M.
33'
Alan Stence
55' Event
Pedro Arthur

AI Match Summary

Sertaozinho in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sertaozinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sao Jose EC
30%
Draws
18%
Sertaozinho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Sertaozinho haven't matched Sao Jose EC's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Sao Jose EC taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 68%
Sertaozinho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose EC Sertaozinho
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Sertaozinho
5:0
Mar 14, 2026 Paulista A2
Sertaozinho vs Sao Jose EC
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Sertaozinho
1:2
Mar 18, 2023 Paulista A3
Sao Jose EC vs Sertaozinho
1:2
Feb 5, 2022 Paulista A3
Sertaozinho vs Sao Jose EC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Jose EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Arthur
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Sertaozinho Compare

Top Goalscorer Prado M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose EC 95 / 100
Sertaozinho 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose EC Sertaozinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Sao Jose EC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sao Jose EC found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Sertaozinho has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose EC VS Sertaozinho
1.63 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.17
63% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Jose EC

(Home)
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1
Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3
Sao Jose EC
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Sertaozinho

(Away)
15 Apr
Sao Jose EC
5 : 0
Sertaozinho
08 Apr
Sertaozinho
0 : 1
Ferroviaria
28 Mar
Sertaozinho
0 : 2
Juventus-SP
22 Mar
Juventus-SP
2 : 1
Sertaozinho
19 Mar
Ferroviaria
1 : 2
Sertaozinho
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)