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Sao Jose (MA) vs Lago Verde

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2 2025 game between Sao Jose (MA) and Lago Verde finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lago Verde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sao Jose (MA)
15%
Draws
65%
Lago Verde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lago Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lago Verde come out ahead of Sao Jose (MA) on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lago Verde a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Maranhense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sao Jose (MA) Clean Sheet 10%
Lago Verde Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose (MA) Lago Verde
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 3
Goals Scored 1.19 2.47
Goals Conceded 2.45 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2025 Maranhense 2
Lago Verde vs Sao Jose (MA)
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 Maranhense 2
Sao Jose (MA) vs Lago Verde
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose (MA) 10 / 100
Lago Verde 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose (MA) Lago Verde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lago Verde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lago Verde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 17 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sao Jose (MA) scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Sao Jose (MA) stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose (MA) VS Lago Verde
0.67 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Jose (MA)

(Home)
04 Jul
Expressinho
2 : 1
Sao Jose (MA)
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
14 Jun
Tupan
2 : 3
Sao Jose (MA)
30 May
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 7

Lago Verde

(Away)
25 Jul
Lago Verde
1 : 2
Araioses
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Lago Verde
5 : 2
Expressinho
11 Jul
Expressinho
0 : 1
Lago Verde
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luminense 4 3 1 0 9:1 10
2 Sao Luis 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Americano Bacabal 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
4 Tupan 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
5 Expressinho 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Timon EC (MA) 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
3 Sao Jose (MA) 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ITZ Sport 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Cordino EC 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
3 Balsas 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)