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Sao Jose (TO) vs Tocantins - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2007
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2007 game between Sao Jose (TO) and Tocantins finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Jose (TO).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Sao Jose (TO)
20%
Draws
6%
Tocantins
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Jose (TO)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Jose (TO) come out ahead of Tocantins on wins alone.
  • Sao Jose (TO) are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2007 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sao Jose (TO) Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose (TO) Tocantins
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.69 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2008 Tocantinense
Sao Jose (TO) vs Tocantins
1:2
Apr 1, 2008 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Sao Jose (TO)
2:2
May 1, 2007 Tocantinense
Sao Jose (TO) vs Tocantins
1:0
Mar 4, 2007 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Sao Jose (TO)
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose (TO) 85 / 100
Tocantins 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose (TO) Tocantins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose (TO) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocantins let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Sao Jose (TO) went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sao Jose (TO)'s goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose (TO) VS Tocantins
3.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Jose (TO)

(Home)
03 Oct
Taquarussu
0 : 8
Sao Jose (TO)
26 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
2 : 1
Batalhao
19 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 3
Sao Jose (TO)
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
Page 1 of 6

Tocantins

(Away)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araguaina 10 7 0 3 19:8 21
2 Tocantins 10 5 2 3 15:8 17
3 Tocantinopolis 10 4 1 5 13:13 13
4 Kabure EC 10 4 1 5 11:18 13
5 Tocantins B 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
6 Sao Jose (TO) 10 3 1 6 10:14 10
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2007 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 10 6 3 1 23:11 21
2 Gurupi 10 6 2 2 23:11 20
3 Paraiso EC 10 3 3 4 11:13 12
4 Juventude TO 10 2 5 3 9:14 11
5 Ipiranga TO 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
6 Interporto 10 1 3 6 8:21 6
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2007 (Second stage)