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SAO Jose vs Mazagao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2008
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
SAO Jose
30%
Draws
31%
Mazagao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SAO Jose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SAO Jose come out ahead of Mazagao on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on SAO Jose taking it.
  • SAO Jose have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mazagao, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
SAO Jose Clean Sheet 17%
Mazagao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Jose Mazagao
Matches Played 43 31
Wins 16 15
Draws 11 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2011 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Mazagao
0:2
Dec 3, 2009 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Mazagao
3:1
Nov 18, 2009 Amapaense
Mazagao vs SAO Jose
2:1
Nov 8, 2009 Amapaense
Mazagao vs SAO Jose
3:2
Jul 1, 2008 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Mazagao
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Jose 41 / 100
Mazagao 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Jose Mazagao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

SAO Jose's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Mazagao has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

SAO Jose went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SAO Jose VS Mazagao
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SAO Jose

(Home)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
11 Mar
SAO Jose
1 : 2
Oratorio
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Mazagao

(Away)
13 Jun
Mazagao
1 : 3
Santana EC
04 Jun
Renovacao
1 : 4
Mazagao
31 May
Mazagao
1 : 5
Portuguesa AP
23 May
Latitude Zero
2 : 1
Mazagao
14 May
Mazagao
1 : 1
Cruzeiro AP
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Trem 0
Cristal AP 1
SAO Jose 1
Mazagao 1
Final
Cristal AP 1
SAO Jose 0