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SAO Jose vs Mazagao

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2008
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amapaense 2008 game between SAO Jose and Mazagao finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SAO Jose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
SAO Jose
20%
Draws
38%
Mazagao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SAO Jose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • SAO Jose haven't matched Mazagao's recent run of results.
  • Model gives SAO Jose a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Amapaense 2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
SAO Jose Clean Sheet 17%
Mazagao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Jose Mazagao
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2011 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Mazagao
0:2
Dec 3, 2009 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Mazagao
3:1
Nov 18, 2009 Amapaense
Mazagao vs SAO Jose
2:1
Nov 8, 2009 Amapaense
Mazagao vs SAO Jose
3:2
Jul 1, 2008 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Mazagao
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Jose 41 / 100
Mazagao 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Jose Mazagao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

SAO Jose's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Mazagao let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

SAO Jose has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SAO Jose VS Mazagao
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trem953122:918
2SAO Jose944119:916
3Mazagao934214:1313
4Cristal AP925210:811
5Ypiranga AP92529:811
6Independente AP92529:911
7Amapa924312:1610
8Sao Paulo AP923414:189
9Macapa923410:189
10Santos AP922514:258