Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SAO Jose vs Oratorio

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense Estádio Augusto Antunes, Santana
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Aldair
49' Event
Gomes J.
63' Event
Jonathan Chula

AI Match Summary

Oratorio in this Amapaense matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oratorio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
SAO Jose
30%
Draws
12%
Oratorio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SAO Jose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oratorio lately — more wins on the board than SAO Jose.
  • Model gives SAO Jose a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Amapaense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Oratorio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
SAO Jose Clean Sheet 68%
Oratorio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Jose Oratorio
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Oratorio
1:2
Aug 24, 2015 Amapaense
Oratorio vs SAO Jose
3:0
Jul 1, 2012 Amapaense
Oratorio vs SAO Jose
3:2
May 1, 2012 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Oratorio
1:1
Aug 10, 2011 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Oratorio
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SAO Jose Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Oratorio Compare

Top Goalscorer Aldair
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonathan Chula
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Jose 95 / 100
Oratorio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Jose Oratorio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Jose Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SAO Jose's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Oratorio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 39 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SAO Jose stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SAO Jose VS Oratorio
1.33 Goals Scored 1.88
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SAO Jose

(Home)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
11 Mar
SAO Jose
1 : 2
Oratorio
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Oratorio

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
31 May
Oratorio
0 : 1
Imperatriz
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3
Tuna Luso
17 May
Trem
4 : 2
Oratorio
10 May
Aguia De Maraba
5 : 1
Oratorio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Jose 7 5 1 1 11:7 16
2 Oratorio 7 5 0 2 15:8 15
3 Santos AP 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
4 Independente AP 7 3 3 1 14:7 12
5 Trem 7 3 2 2 12:8 11
6 Ypiranga AP 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
7 Macapa 7 1 1 5 4:15 4
8 Cristal AP 7 0 0 7 5:18 0
Promotion - Amapaense (Play Offs)