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SAO Jose vs Santana EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2009
SAO Jose Logo

SAO Jose

3 - 3
FT
Santana EC Logo

Santana EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Amapaense 2009 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
SAO Jose
20%
Draws
56%
Santana EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santana EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SAO Jose lately — more wins on the board than Santana EC.
  • Win probability leans Santana EC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
SAO Jose Clean Sheet 18%
Santana EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Jose Santana EC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.17 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.37 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2015 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Santana EC
1:2
Jul 27, 2013 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Santana EC
1:1
Jun 28, 2012 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Santana EC
1:1
Jun 2, 2012 Amapaense
Santana EC vs SAO Jose
1:2
Jun 25, 2011 Amapaense
Santana EC vs SAO Jose
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Jose 20 / 100
Santana EC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Jose Santana EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santana EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santana EC has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

SAO Jose's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: SAO Jose stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SAO Jose VS Santana EC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SAO Jose

(Home)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
11 Mar
SAO Jose
1 : 2
Oratorio
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Santana EC

(Away)
13 Jun
Mazagao
1 : 3
Santana EC
07 Jun
Santana EC
1 : 6
Rio Norte
28 May
Bare AP
1 : 2
Santana EC
19 May
Santana EC
3 : 0
Canario
11 May
ADEC
0 : 3
Santana EC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macapa 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
2 Mazagao 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Santana EC 3 0 3 0 6:6 3
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2009 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Jose 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
2 Sao Paulo AP 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
3 Oratorio 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2009 (Second stage - Play Offs)