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Sao Jose W vs Guarani W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Jose W play Guarani W in the Paulista Women 2012. Sao Jose W are favorites here. Recently, Sao Jose W averaged 1.88 goals scored and 2.72 conceded. Guarani W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 4.73 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Jose W won 2, Guarani W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 8, 2012 ended 10:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Sao Jose W and 2.75 for Guarani W. This points to a Sao Jose W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Sao Jose W
15%
Draws
18%
Guarani W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Jose W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Jose W picked up more points recently compared to Guarani W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Sao Jose W Clean Sheet 10%
Guarani W Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose W Guarani W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 0 3
Losses 21 23
Goals Scored 1.88 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.72 4.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2012 Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Guarani W
10:0
Jun 13, 2012 Paulista Women
Guarani W vs Sao Jose W
0:12

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose W 62 / 100
Guarani W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose W Guarani W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sao Jose W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Jose W attacking → ← attacking Guarani W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose W scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Guarani W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 11.00 goals.

Sao Jose W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Guarani W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 15
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
4.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Botucatu W1061317:1219
2Rio Preto W1054122:1019
3Francana W1053213:418
4Ferroviaria W1051414:1316
5America Sao Manuel W1022610:238
6Palmeiras W1011811:254
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Jose W1090151:227
2Piracicaba W1080240:424
3Taubate W1051412:2116
4Ponte Preta W1050519:1815
5Paulista W1020813:316
6Guarani W100199:681
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Centro Olimpico W1072137:623
2Portuguesa W1071228:822
3CA Juventus W1052321:917
4Cotia W1051422:1716
5Sao Vicente W1011810:434
6Sao Bernardo W101185:404