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Sao Jose W vs Portuguesa W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Jose W play Portuguesa W in the Paulista Women 2018. Sao Jose W are favorites here. Recently, Sao Jose W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Portuguesa W averaged 1.06 goals scored and 3.12 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Jose W won 5, Portuguesa W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 20, 2022 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Sao Jose W and 2.75 for Portuguesa W. This points to a Sao Jose W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Sao Jose W
15%
Draws
17%
Portuguesa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Jose W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Jose W picked up more points recently compared to Portuguesa W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Sao Jose W Clean Sheet 10%
Portuguesa W Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose W Portuguesa W
Matches Played 38 34
Wins 16 5
Draws 1 4
Losses 21 25
Goals Scored 1.63 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.37 3.12

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2022 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Sao Jose W
1:5
Sep 29, 2021 Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Portuguesa W
1:0
May 19, 2019 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Sao Jose W
1:3
Mar 31, 2019 Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Portuguesa W
2:1
May 26, 2018 Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Portuguesa W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose W 63 / 100
Portuguesa W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose W Portuguesa W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sao Jose W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.6%
1.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Jose W attacking → ← attacking Portuguesa W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose W scored in 58% of their last 38 games.

Portuguesa W let in goals in 94% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Sao Jose W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Portuguesa W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 19
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
4.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W1063123:1121
2Ferroviaria W1053227:1518
3Ponte Preta W1051420:1416
4Osasco Audax W1043314:1215
5Francana W1021710:227
6Embu Das Artes W1021711:317
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corinthians W12111046:1034
2Santos W1282248:1126
3Sao Jose W1264224:1522
4Taubate W1252520:1717
5CA Juventus W1233611:3012
6Portuguesa W1221915:447
7Centro Olimpico W1201117:441