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Sao Luis vs Goianesia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Luis Felipe
45' Event
Valter Bala
45' Event
Matheus Fernandes

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 game between Sao Luis and Goianesia finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goianesia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sao Luis
30%
Draws
41%
Goianesia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Goianesia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Luis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Goiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 20%
Goianesia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Luis Goianesia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Goiano 2
Sao Luis vs Goianesia
1:3
Jul 29, 2026 Goiano 2
Goianesia vs Sao Luis
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Fernandes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Goianesia Compare

Top Goalscorer Luis Felipe
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valter Bala
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Luis 32 / 100
Goianesia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Luis Goianesia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goianesia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goianesia has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Sao Luis's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sao Luis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Luis VS Goianesia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Luis

(Home)
07 Oct
Sao Luis
1 : 3
Goianesia
03 Oct
Sao Luis
1 : 1
Goiania
27 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Sao Luis
23 Sept
Sao Luis
1 : 1
Trindade
19 Sept
Tupy FC
0 : 1
Sao Luis
Page 1 of 6

Goianesia

(Away)
07 Oct
Sao Luis
1 : 3
Goianesia
03 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 3
Goianesia
27 Sept
Goianesia
0 : 1
Mineiros
24 Sept
Goianesia
1 : 1
Rio Verde
19 Sept
Trindade
1 : 0
Goianesia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 26:12 33
2 Bom Jesus 17 8 7 2 24:15 31
3 Goianesia 17 8 6 3 24:19 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 19:14 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 24:24 22
6 Goiania 17 4 8 5 13:18 20
7 Tupy FC 17 4 7 6 15:17 19
8 Sao Luis 17 3 7 7 19:26 16
9 Gremio Anapolis 17 3 5 9 20:27 14
10 Trindade 17 2 6 9 13:25 12
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)