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Sao Luis vs Pinheiro

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
Wed, Jul 15, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Luis host Pinheiro in the Maranhense 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Pinheiro have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while Sao Luis have conceded 1 and scored 2.13. Head-to-head, Sao Luis have won 0 to Pinheiro's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.49 xG vs 0.85) point toward Sao Luis. Sao Luis in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sao Luis
22%
Draws
18%
Pinheiro
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sao Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Pinheiro haven't matched Sao Luis's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sao Luis's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 20%
Pinheiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Luis Pinheiro
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.13 0.71
Goals Conceded 1 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Maranhense 2
Pinheiro vs Sao Luis
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Luis 58 / 100
Pinheiro 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Luis Pinheiro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Luis's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Pinheiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sao Luis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Luis VS Pinheiro
2.13 Goals Scored 0.71
1 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Cordino EC1
Araioses1
Expressinho0
Lago Verde1
Pinheiro1
Sao Luis1
Tupan0
Timon EC (MA)1
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-