Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Luis vs Pinheiro

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sao Luis
30%
Draws
37%
Pinheiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pinheiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Pinheiro haven't matched Sao Luis's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sao Luis's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Sao Luis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pinheiro, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 68%
Pinheiro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Luis Pinheiro
Matches Played 25 33
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.04 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Pinheiro
0:1
Jul 11, 2026 Maranhense 2
Pinheiro vs Sao Luis
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Luis 59 / 100
Pinheiro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Luis Pinheiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Luis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Luis scored in 80% of their last 25 games.

Pinheiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sao Luis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Luis VS Pinheiro
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Luis

(Home)
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
17 Jun
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 5

Pinheiro

(Away)
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Pinheiro 2
Sao Luis 1
Expressinho 2
Lago Verde 6
Cordino EC 1
Araioses 3
Tupan 1
Timon EC (MA) 6
Semi-finals
Pinheiro 2
Lago Verde 4
Araioses 2
Timon EC (MA) 1
Final
Lago Verde 1
Araioses 2