Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Luiz vs Blumenau

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estádio 19 de Outubro, Ijuí
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Thiago Andre
90' Event
Wellisson

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Sao Luiz
30%
Draws
16%
Blumenau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Luiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Blumenau have won more games recently than Sao Luiz.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Blumenau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sao Luiz Clean Sheet 68%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Luiz Blumenau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Serie D
Blumenau vs Sao Luiz
1:2
Jun 20, 2026 Serie D
Sao Luiz vs Blumenau
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Luiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Andre
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Wellisson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Luiz 41 / 100
Blumenau 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Luiz Blumenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Luiz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Luiz scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Blumenau has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Sao Luiz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Luiz VS Blumenau
1.33 Goals Scored 1.5
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.5
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Luiz

(Home)
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
19 Jul
Sao Luiz
0 : 0
CSA
12 Jul
Sao Luiz
3 : 1
Velo Clube
04 Jul
Velo Clube
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
27 Jun
Blumenau
1 : 2
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 6

Blumenau

(Away)
26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1
Marcilio Dias
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3