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Sao Luiz vs Ypiranga FC

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Estádio 19 de Outubro
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Cleiton
Assist: Danielzinho
33' Event
Cleiton
Assist: Felipe Ferreira
45' Event
Felipe Rangel
Assist: Lucas Hian

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho game between Sao Luiz and Ypiranga FC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sao Luiz
39%
Draws
31%
Ypiranga FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ypiranga FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ypiranga FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sao Luiz Clean Sheet 68%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Luiz Ypiranga FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Sao Luiz vs Ypiranga FC
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 Gaucho
Sao Luiz vs Ypiranga FC
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Sao Luiz vs Ypiranga FC
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Gaucho
Ypiranga FC vs Sao Luiz
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Gaucho
Sao Luiz vs Ypiranga FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Luiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Rangel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ypiranga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleiton
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Luiz 41 / 100
Ypiranga FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Luiz Ypiranga FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Luiz's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ypiranga FC has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sao Luiz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Luiz VS Ypiranga FC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional650114:515
2EC Juventude63308:312
3EC Sao Jose (PA)62314:39
4Sao Luiz61416:107
5Avenida61234:95
6Guarany de Bage61234:105
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio631214:610
2SER Caxias do Sul62138:57
3Ypiranga FC61417:97
4Novo Hamburgo61325:56
5Monsoon61325:116
6Inter Santa Maria61231:45