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Sao Martinho vs Merelinense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sao Martinho
20%
Draws
52%
Merelinense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Merelinense at 1.41 per game, Sao Martinho at 0.81.
  • Model gives Merelinense a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 23%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Martinho Merelinense
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.81 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sao Martinho vs Merelinense
0:0
Oct 9, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Sao Martinho
1:0
May 29, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Sao Martinho
1:2
May 9, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sao Martinho vs Merelinense
0:1
Feb 23, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Sao Martinho
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Martinho 21 / 100
Merelinense 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Martinho Merelinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelinense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sao Martinho stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sao Martinho found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Sao Martinho VS Merelinense
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Martinho

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
22 Mar
Celoricense
0 : 0
Sao Martinho
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 7

Merelinense

(Away)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0
Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
19 Mar
Merelinense
2 : 1
Pedras Salgadas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Vianense 26 16 5 5 37:19 53
2 Amarante FC 26 14 9 3 43:25 51
3 Tirsense 26 14 2 10 39:25 44
4 Pevidem 26 13 4 9 37:30 43
5 Vila Mea 26 11 6 9 39:30 39
6 Vilar de Perdizes 26 8 12 6 33:32 36
7 Brito 26 9 8 9 21:28 35
8 Dumiense 26 9 7 10 34:35 34
9 Merelinense 26 8 9 9 32:32 33
10 Pedras Salgadas 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
11 Desportivo Moncao 26 7 6 13 34:45 27
12 Maria de Fonte 26 6 7 13 27:45 25
13 Sao Martinho 26 5 9 12 24:34 24
14 GD Braganca 26 5 6 15 20:39 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)