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Sao Martinho vs Rio Ave B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2020/2021 game between Sao Martinho and Rio Ave B finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Ave B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sao Martinho
15%
Draws
39%
Rio Ave B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Martinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Martinho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Ave B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Martinho Rio Ave B
Matches Played 36 19
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rio Ave B vs Sao Martinho
1:2
Oct 24, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sao Martinho vs Rio Ave B
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Martinho 41 / 100
Rio Ave B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Martinho Rio Ave B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Martinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sao Martinho scored in 64% of their last 36 outings.

Sao Martinho has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rio Ave B's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Martinho VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Martinho

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
22 Mar
Celoricense
0 : 0
Sao Martinho
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 8

Rio Ave B

(Away)
10 Apr
Rio Ave B
0 : 3
FC Felgueiras
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes B
5 : 1
Rio Ave B
14 Mar
Rio Ave B
5 : 0
Mondinense
07 Mar
Rio Ave B
1 : 0
Berco
28 Feb
AD Fafe
3 : 1
Rio Ave B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pevidem 18 9 7 2 27:16 34
2 AD Fafe 18 10 4 4 25:17 34
3 Vitoria Guimaraes B 18 8 8 2 33:14 32
4 FC Felgueiras 18 8 7 3 26:17 31
5 Sao Martinho 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
6 Berco 18 7 5 6 30:27 26
7 Rio Ave B 18 7 4 7 23:23 25
8 Tirsense 18 6 3 9 21:29 21
9 Brito 18 3 5 10 20:31 14
10 Mondinense 18 0 1 17 11:46 1
11 Camacha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Aves 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)