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Sao Martinho vs Santa Marta Penaguiao

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Martinho in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Martinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sao Martinho
20%
Draws
38%
Santa Marta Penaguiao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Martinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Martinho have won more games recently than Santa Marta Penaguiao.
  • Win probability leans Sao Martinho's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Marta Penaguiao Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Martinho Santa Marta Penaguiao
Matches Played 34 27
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Sao Martinho
0:1
Dec 5, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sao Martinho vs Santa Marta Penaguiao
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Martinho 42 / 100
Santa Marta Penaguiao 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Martinho Santa Marta Penaguiao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Martinho found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (34 games).

Santa Marta Penaguiao has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Sao Martinho went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Martinho VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes18123323:939
2Sao Martinho18115229:1038
3Tirsense1897217:834
4SC Mirandela18103521:1633
5Amarante FC1886433:2130
6Vila Mea1873822:2024
7SC Vila Real1845921:3617
8Santa Marta Penaguiao18431115:3315
9Berco18341116:2713
10Macedo de Cavaleiros18131410:276