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Sao Martinho vs SC Mirandela

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Pedro Santos
90'
Pedro Santos

AI Match Summary

SC Mirandela in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Mirandela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sao Martinho
15%
Draws
39%
SC Mirandela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Martinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Mirandela lately — more wins on the board than Sao Martinho.
  • Win probability leans Sao Martinho's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 20%
SC Mirandela Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Martinho SC Mirandela
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.87 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Sao Martinho
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sao Martinho vs SC Mirandela
0:1
Feb 27, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Mirandela vs Sao Martinho
0:1
Oct 24, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sao Martinho vs SC Mirandela
2:0
Mar 8, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Sao Martinho
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Martinho Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

SC Mirandela Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Martinho 36 / 100
SC Mirandela 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Martinho SC Mirandela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Martinho scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

SC Mirandela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Sao Martinho stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: SC Mirandela registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Martinho VS SC Mirandela
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Martinho

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
22 Mar
Celoricense
0 : 0
Sao Martinho
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
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SC Mirandela

(Away)
18 Apr
Brito
2 : 0
SC Mirandela
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
SC Mirandela
22 Mar
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
Tirsense
15 Mar
Chaves B
1 : 2
SC Mirandela
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)