Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SAO Mateus U20 vs CTE Colatina U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba U20 2024
Sun, Mar 17, 2024
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SAO Mateus U20 host CTE Colatina U20 in the Capixaba U20 2024. SAO Mateus U20 are expected to control this from the start. CTE Colatina U20 have shipped 4.56 goals a game lately, while SAO Mateus U20 have conceded 2.75 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor SAO Mateus U20 slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2024, ending 0:3. xG projections (3.15 - 1.69) back SAO Mateus U20 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
SAO Mateus U20
15%
Draws
0%
CTE Colatina U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SAO Mateus U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • SAO Mateus U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SAO Mateus U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
SAO Mateus U20 Clean Sheet 13%
CTE Colatina U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Mateus U20 CTE Colatina U20
Matches Played 8 16
Wins 2 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0.56
Goals Conceded 2.75 4.56
Expected Goals (xG) 3.15 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Capixaba U20
CTE Colatina U20 vs SAO Mateus U20
0:3
Mar 17, 2024 Capixaba U20
SAO Mateus U20 vs CTE Colatina U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Mateus U20 84 / 100
CTE Colatina U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Mateus U20 CTE Colatina U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Mateus U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CTE Colatina U20 conceded in 100% of 16 recent games.

Difficult form: CTE Colatina U20 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

SAO Mateus U20's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Scoring Trends

SAO Mateus U20 VS CTE Colatina U20
1.43 Goals Scored 0.38
3 Goals Conceded 4.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 100%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SAO Mateus U20

(Home)
13 Apr
CTE Colatina U20
0 : 3
SAO Mateus U20
07 Apr
SAO Mateus U20
2 : 7
Nova Venecia U20
30 Mar
Jaguare U20
2 : 0
SAO Mateus U20
24 Mar
SAO Mateus U20
2 : 3
Real Noroeste U20
17 Mar
SAO Mateus U20
3 : 0
CTE Colatina U20
Page 1 of 2

CTE Colatina U20

(Away)
18 Apr
CTE Colatina U20
1 : 6
Rio Branco ES U20
15 Apr
Vilavelhense U20
3 : 1
CTE Colatina U20
06 Apr
CTE Colatina U20
2 : 8
Vitoria ES U20
23 Mar
CTE Colatina U20
0 : 1
Pinheiros U20
14 Mar
Tupy U20
6 : 0
CTE Colatina U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Venecia U20 8 7 1 0 28:8 22
2 Real Noroeste U20 8 5 2 1 22:7 17
3 Jaguare U20 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 SAO Mateus U20 8 2 0 6 10:22 6
5 CTE Colatina U20 8 0 0 8 3:31 0
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria ES U20 6 4 2 0 14:6 14
2 Capixaba SC U20 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Serra U20 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
4 Sport-ES U20 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Vitoria U20 6 4 2 0 25:4 14
2 Rio Branco ES U20 6 4 1 1 16:9 13
3 Desportiva Ferroviaria U20 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 G.E.L. U20 6 1 0 5 5:25 3
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilavelhense U20 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
2 Estrela do Norte U20 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Forte U20 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
4 Rio Branco-VN U20 6 1 1 4 9:11 4
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)