Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SAO Mateus U20 vs Real Noroeste U20

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Noroeste U20 in this Capixaba U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Noroeste U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SAO Mateus U20
15%
Draws
51%
Real Noroeste U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Noroeste U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SAO Mateus U20 haven't matched Real Noroeste U20's recent run of results.
  • Real Noroeste U20 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Capixaba U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
SAO Mateus U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Real Noroeste U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Mateus U20 Real Noroeste U20
Matches Played 8 12
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 2
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.25 2.33
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Capixaba U20
SAO Mateus U20 vs Real Noroeste U20
2:3
Mar 13, 2024 Capixaba U20
Real Noroeste U20 vs SAO Mateus U20
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Mateus U20 22 / 100
Real Noroeste U20 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Mateus U20 Real Noroeste U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Noroeste U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Real Noroeste U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 12 matches.

SAO Mateus U20's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Solid form: SAO Mateus U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SAO Mateus U20 VS Real Noroeste U20
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SAO Mateus U20

(Home)
13 Apr
CTE Colatina U20
0 : 3
SAO Mateus U20
07 Apr
SAO Mateus U20
2 : 7
Nova Venecia U20
30 Mar
Jaguare U20
2 : 0
SAO Mateus U20
24 Mar
SAO Mateus U20
2 : 3
Real Noroeste U20
17 Mar
SAO Mateus U20
3 : 0
CTE Colatina U20
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Real Noroeste U20

(Away)
10 May
Porto Vitoria U20
5 : 1
Real Noroeste U20
05 May
Real Noroeste U20
0 : 3
Porto Vitoria U20
26 Apr
Vitoria ES U20
0 : 2
Real Noroeste U20
20 Apr
Real Noroeste U20
3 : 2
Vitoria ES U20
13 Apr
Jaguare U20
1 : 2
Real Noroeste U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Venecia U20 8 7 1 0 28:8 22
2 Real Noroeste U20 8 5 2 1 22:7 17
3 Jaguare U20 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 SAO Mateus U20 8 2 0 6 10:22 6
5 CTE Colatina U20 8 0 0 8 3:31 0
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria ES U20 6 4 2 0 14:6 14
2 Capixaba SC U20 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Serra U20 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
4 Sport-ES U20 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Vitoria U20 6 4 2 0 25:4 14
2 Rio Branco ES U20 6 4 1 1 16:9 13
3 Desportiva Ferroviaria U20 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 G.E.L. U20 6 1 0 5 5:25 3
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilavelhense U20 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
2 Estrela do Norte U20 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Forte U20 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
4 Rio Branco-VN U20 6 1 1 4 9:11 4
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)