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SAO Mateus vs Doze Futebol Clube

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SAO Mateus play Doze Futebol Clube in the Campeonato Capixaba 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, SAO Mateus averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Doze Futebol Clube averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, SAO Mateus won 1, Doze Futebol Clube won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 28, 2018 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for SAO Mateus and 1.56 for Doze Futebol Clube. This points to a Doze Futebol Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
SAO Mateus
20%
Draws
49%
Doze Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Doze Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • SAO Mateus picked up more points recently compared to Doze Futebol Clube.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
SAO Mateus Clean Sheet 15%
Doze Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Mateus Doze Futebol Clube
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.52

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs SAO Mateus
1:0
Apr 8, 2017 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Doze Futebol Clube
1:3
Apr 6, 2016 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Doze Futebol Clube
1:1
Mar 27, 2016 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs SAO Mateus
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Mateus 31 / 100
Doze Futebol Clube 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Mateus Doze Futebol Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Doze Futebol Clube or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SAO Mateus attacking → ← attacking Doze Futebol Clube

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SAO Mateus scored in 54% of their last 35 games.

Doze Futebol Clube let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

SAO Mateus went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Doze Futebol Clube lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 37
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CA Itapemirim963018:621
2Doze Futebol Clube961215:1119
3Galatas934210:813
4Tupy93339:1212
5SAO Mateus932413:1411
6Vitoria ES92528:1011
7Desportiva Ferroviaria924310:710
8Rio Branco ES924310:1310
9Real Noroeste931510:1410
10Linhares Futebol Clube90365:133