Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SAO Mateus vs Doze Futebol Clube

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Doze Futebol Clube in this Campeonato Capixaba 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Doze Futebol Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
SAO Mateus
15%
Draws
57%
Doze Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Doze Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Doze Futebol Clube have won more games recently than SAO Mateus.
  • Model gives Doze Futebol Clube a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
SAO Mateus Clean Sheet 12%
Doze Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Mateus Doze Futebol Clube
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.72 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs SAO Mateus
1:0
Apr 8, 2017 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Doze Futebol Clube
1:3
Apr 6, 2016 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Doze Futebol Clube
1:1
Mar 27, 2016 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs SAO Mateus
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Mateus 10 / 100
Doze Futebol Clube 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Mateus Doze Futebol Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Doze Futebol Clube Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Doze Futebol Clube has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Doze Futebol Clube lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SAO Mateus scored in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

SAO Mateus VS Doze Futebol Clube
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SAO Mateus

(Home)
26 Oct
CTE Colatina
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
19 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Linhares Futebol Clube
16 Oct
Pinheiros
5 : 0
SAO Mateus
03 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Vilavelhense
28 Sept
SAO Mateus
1 : 5
CTE Colatina
Page 1 of 7

Doze Futebol Clube

(Away)
22 Aug
Audax Sao Mateus
4 : 0
Doze Futebol Clube
18 Aug
Doze Futebol Clube
1 : 2
GEL
14 Aug
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Doze Futebol Clube
08 Aug
CTE Colatina
0 : 1
Doze Futebol Clube
26 Jul
Doze Futebol Clube
3 : 2
Audax Sao Mateus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Itapemirim 9 6 3 0 18:6 21
2 Doze Futebol Clube 9 6 1 2 15:11 19
3 Galatas 9 3 4 2 10:8 13
4 Tupy 9 3 3 3 9:12 12
5 SAO Mateus 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
6 Vitoria ES 9 2 5 2 8:10 11
7 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 2 4 3 10:7 10
8 Rio Branco ES 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
9 Real Noroeste 9 3 1 5 10:14 10
10 Linhares Futebol Clube 9 0 3 6 5:13 3
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2017 (Play Offs)