Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SAO Mateus vs Sport-ES - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2016
SAO Mateus Logo

SAO Mateus

0 - 0
FT
Sport-ES Logo

Sport-ES

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2016 game between SAO Mateus and Sport-ES finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
SAO Mateus
15%
Draws
42%
Sport-ES
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SAO Mateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sport-ES come out ahead of SAO Mateus on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sport-ES a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
SAO Mateus Clean Sheet 20%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Mateus Sport-ES
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.73 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2016 Capixaba
Sport-ES vs SAO Mateus
2:1
Mar 30, 2016 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Sport-ES
4:3
Mar 2, 2016 Capixaba
Sport-ES vs SAO Mateus
1:0
Feb 24, 2016 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Sport-ES
0:0
May 2, 2015 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Sport-ES
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Mateus 10 / 100
Sport-ES 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Mateus Sport-ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport-ES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sport-ES conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Difficult form: Sport-ES registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SAO Mateus scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sport-ES
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SAO Mateus

(Home)
26 Oct
CTE Colatina
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
19 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Linhares Futebol Clube
16 Oct
Pinheiros
5 : 0
SAO Mateus
03 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Vilavelhense
28 Sept
SAO Mateus
1 : 5
CTE Colatina
Page 1 of 6

Sport-ES

(Away)
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Rive
2 : 0
Sport-ES
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 8 5 2 1 10:5 17
2 Real Noroeste 8 4 3 1 7:4 15
3 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 4 0 4 7:8 12
4 SAO Mateus 8 2 1 5 5:8 7
5 Sport-ES 8 1 2 5 5:9 5
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Second stage)
Relegation - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Ferroviaria 8 5 3 0 10:3 18
2 Galatas 8 3 3 2 6:2 12
3 CA Itapemirim 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
4 Estrela do Norte 8 2 2 4 4:7 8
5 Doze Futebol Clube 8 1 2 5 1:10 5
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Second stage)
Relegation - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Relegation Group)