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Sao Paulo AP vs Renovacao

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo AP in this Amapaense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Paulo AP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sao Paulo AP
6%
Draws
4%
Renovacao
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Paulo AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Paulo AP lately — more wins on the board than Renovacao.
  • Sao Paulo AP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sao Paulo AP Clean Sheet 10%
Renovacao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo AP Renovacao
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 6 0
Draws 4 1
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 3.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Amapaense 2
Sao Paulo AP vs Renovacao
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo AP 83 / 100
Renovacao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo AP Renovacao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renovacao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 6 matches.

Sao Paulo AP went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Renovacao has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sao Paulo AP scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo AP VS Renovacao
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa AP641115:613
2Cruzeiro AP641113:713
3Santana EC641114:1013
4Latitude Zero630312:119
5Lagoa61055:143
6Renovacao60153:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rio Norte651014:216
2Sao Paulo AP641112:513
3Canario63039:139
4Mazagao62139:127
5ADEC611410:174
6Bare AP61056:133