Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Paulo U20 vs Desportivo U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
Sao Paulo U20 Logo

Sao Paulo U20

4 - 3
FT
Desportivo U20 Logo

Desportivo U20

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Igor Felisberto
20' Event
Butzke M.
36' Event
Manoel J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 2025 game between Sao Paulo U20 and Desportivo U20 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Paulo U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sao Paulo U20
30%
Draws
19%
Desportivo U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Paulo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Paulo U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sao Paulo U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sao Paulo U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Desportivo U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo U20 Desportivo U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.94 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Paulista U20
Desportivo U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 Paulista U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Desportivo U20
4:3
Oct 20, 2024 Paulista U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Desportivo U20
6:0
Oct 12, 2024 Paulista U20
Desportivo U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
1:1
Sep 3, 2024 Paulista U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Desportivo U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Felisberto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Butzke M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Desportivo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Manoel J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mykael
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo U20 95 / 100
Desportivo U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo U20 Desportivo U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Paulo U20 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Desportivo U20 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Sao Paulo U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo U20 VS Desportivo U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo U20
21 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo U20
0 : 0
Sao Paulo U20
16 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
1 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao U20
10 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
13 : 1
Gremio Santo Antonio U20
04 Sept
Desportivo U20
0 : 1
Sao Paulo U20
Page 1 of 7

Desportivo U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Desportivo U20
1 : 1
Osasco Sporting U20
19 Sept
Osasco Sporting U20
2 : 4
Desportivo U20
12 Sept
Osasco Sporting U20
1 : 1
Desportivo U20
04 Sept
Desportivo U20
0 : 1
Sao Paulo U20
21 Aug
Ibrachina U20
3 : 0
Desportivo U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 15 12 1 2 61:11 37
2 Bragantino U20 15 11 2 2 36:11 35
3 Sao Paulo U20 15 11 2 2 36:13 35
4 Guarani U20 15 11 1 3 28:13 34
5 EC Sao Bernardo U20 15 11 0 4 33:13 33
6 Novorizontino U20 15 10 3 2 36:16 33
7 Portuguesa U20 15 9 4 2 33:15 31
8 Ituano U20 15 9 3 3 37:12 30
9 Ibrachina U20 15 9 3 3 31:15 30
10 Ferroviaria U20 15 9 2 4 29:18 29
11 Santos U20 15 9 2 4 29:19 29
12 CA Juventus U20 15 9 2 4 15:10 29
13 Corinthians U20 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
14 Uniao Suzano U20 15 9 2 4 23:19 29
15 Ponte Preta U20 15 9 1 5 33:19 28
16 Santo Andre U20 15 8 1 6 26:26 25
17 Osasco Sporting U20 15 7 4 4 22:17 25
18 Capivariano U20 15 7 3 5 23:15 24
19 XV de Jau U20 15 7 1 7 26:23 22
20 Piracicaba U20 15 7 1 7 19:18 22
21 Gremio Prudente U20 15 6 4 5 21:15 22
22 Portuguesa Santista U20 15 6 4 5 19:21 22
23 Mirassol U20 15 6 3 6 21:13 21
24 Osasco Audax U20 15 6 3 6 27:25 21
25 Sao Caetano U20 15 6 3 6 20:23 21
26 Referencia U20 15 5 6 4 25:26 21
27 Botafogo SP U20 15 6 2 7 25:21 20
28 Internacional de Limeira U20 15 6 2 7 20:19 20
29 Desportivo U20 15 5 3 7 22:25 18
30 Maua FC U20 15 5 3 7 13:17 18
31 CA Bandeirante U20 15 5 3 7 18:25 18
32 Itapirense U20 15 5 3 7 18:26 18
33 Sertaozinho U20 15 5 2 8 14:17 17
34 Tanabi U20 15 4 4 7 19:24 16
35 Agua Santa U20 15 4 4 7 20:28 16
36 Velo Clube U20 15 4 4 7 16:26 16
37 Sao Bento U20 15 4 3 8 17:29 15
38 Aguai U20 15 4 3 8 12:25 15
39 Jabaquara U20 15 4 3 8 16:30 15
40 Sfera U20 15 4 2 9 15:23 14
41 Flamengo SP U20 15 4 2 9 15:32 14
42 AC Guaratingueta U20 15 3 2 10 12:35 11
43 Uniao Sao Joao U20 15 3 1 11 13:33 10
44 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 15 3 0 12 20:36 9
45 Taubate U20 15 2 2 11 10:33 8
46 Sao Jose EC U20 15 1 3 11 14:40 6
47 Aracatuba FC U20 15 1 3 11 14:48 6
48 Rio Claro U20 15 1 1 13 8:46 4
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Sao Bernardo U20 15 11 0 4 33:13 33
2 Novorizontino U20 15 10 3 2 36:16 33
3 Ferroviaria U20 15 9 2 4 29:18 29
4 Santos U20 15 9 2 4 29:19 29
5 CA Juventus U20 15 9 2 4 15:10 29
6 Ponte Preta U20 15 9 1 5 33:19 28
7 Mirassol U20 15 6 3 6 21:13 21
8 Osasco Audax U20 15 6 3 6 27:25 21
9 Sao Caetano U20 15 6 3 6 20:23 21
10 Internacional de Limeira U20 15 6 2 7 20:19 20
11 Itapirense U20 15 5 3 7 18:26 18
12 Velo Clube U20 15 4 4 7 16:26 16
13 Aguai U20 15 4 3 8 12:25 15
14 Sfera U20 15 4 2 9 15:23 14
15 Taubate U20 15 2 2 11 10:33 8
16 Sao Jose EC U20 15 1 3 11 14:40 6
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 15 12 1 2 61:11 37
2 Bragantino U20 15 11 2 2 36:11 35
3 Portuguesa U20 15 9 4 2 33:15 31
4 Ituano U20 15 9 3 3 37:12 30
5 Corinthians U20 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
6 Uniao Suzano U20 15 9 2 4 23:19 29
7 Santo Andre U20 15 8 1 6 26:26 25
8 Referencia U20 15 5 6 4 25:26 21
9 Botafogo SP U20 15 6 2 7 25:21 20
10 Sertaozinho U20 15 5 2 8 14:17 17
11 Agua Santa U20 15 4 4 7 20:28 16
12 Sao Bento U20 15 4 3 8 17:29 15
13 Jabaquara U20 15 4 3 8 16:30 15
14 Uniao Sao Joao U20 15 3 1 11 13:33 10
15 Aracatuba FC U20 15 1 3 11 14:48 6
16 Rio Claro U20 15 1 1 13 8:46 4
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 15 11 2 2 36:13 35
2 Guarani U20 15 11 1 3 28:13 34
3 Ibrachina U20 15 9 3 3 31:15 30
4 Osasco Sporting U20 15 7 4 4 22:17 25
5 Capivariano U20 15 7 3 5 23:15 24
6 XV de Jau U20 15 7 1 7 26:23 22
7 Piracicaba U20 15 7 1 7 19:18 22
8 Gremio Prudente U20 15 6 4 5 21:15 22
9 Portuguesa Santista U20 15 6 4 5 19:21 22
10 Desportivo U20 15 5 3 7 22:25 18
11 Maua FC U20 15 5 3 7 13:17 18
12 CA Bandeirante U20 15 5 3 7 18:25 18
13 Tanabi U20 15 4 4 7 19:24 16
14 Flamengo SP U20 15 4 2 9 15:32 14
15 AC Guaratingueta U20 15 3 2 10 12:35 11
16 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 15 3 0 12 20:36 9
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)