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Sao Paulo W vs Mixto W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio do Caninde, Sao Paulo
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Match Events

30'
Lopes N.
35'
Livia Mathias
48'
Vi Amaral

AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo W in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Paulo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Sao Paulo W
15%
Draws
16%
Mixto W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Paulo W lately — more wins on the board than Mixto W.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Sao Paulo W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 20%
Mixto W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo W Mixto W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.58 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.65 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Mixto W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bia Menezes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mixto W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo W 85 / 100
Mixto W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo W Mixto W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Paulo W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sao Paulo W scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Mixto W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Mixto W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo W VS Mixto W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo W

(Home)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
Page 1 of 7

Mixto W

(Away)
08 Oct
Paulistano FC W
1 : 0
Mixto W
03 Oct
Várzea Grande EC W
1 : 0
Mixto W
26 Sept
Mixto W
2 : 0
Acao W
22 Aug
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
Mixto W
15 Aug
Mixto W
1 : 2
Cruzeiro W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)