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Sao Paulo W vs Osasco Audax W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo W play Osasco Audax W in the Paulista Women 2019. Sao Paulo W are favorites here. Recently, Sao Paulo W averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Osasco Audax W averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Paulo W won 2, Osasco Audax W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 23, 2020 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Sao Paulo W and 1.00 for Osasco Audax W. This points to a Sao Paulo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sao Paulo W
21%
Draws
21%
Osasco Audax W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Paulo W picked up more points recently compared to Osasco Audax W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 23%
Osasco Audax W Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo W Osasco Audax W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.6 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2020 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Osasco Audax W
4:0
Jun 15, 2019 Paulista Women
Osasco Audax W vs Sao Paulo W
2:2
May 5, 2019 Paulista Women
Sao Paulo W vs Osasco Audax W
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo W 57 / 100
Osasco Audax W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo W Osasco Audax W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sao Paulo W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Paulo W attacking → ← attacking Osasco Audax W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Paulo W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Osasco Audax W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sao Paulo W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Osasco Audax W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 22
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Paulo W1064019:722
2Ferroviaria W1055020:520
3Ponte Preta W1050515:1615
4Palmeiras W1034312:1013
5Osasco Audax W102359:129
6Inter de Franca W101094:293
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corinthians W10100032:530
2Santos W1080234:1224
3Sao Jose W1051414:1516
4CA Juventus W1022614:318
5Portuguesa W101187:304
6Taubate W1004610:184