Sport Picks
Sao Tome and Principe vs Nigeria
Africa
Africa Cup of Nations 2023 Stade Adrar, Agadir 
Match Events
9'
9'
Osimhen V.
Assist: Simon M.
28'
28'
Simon M.
Assist: Osimhen V.
43'
43'
Moffi T.
Assist: Osimhen V.
AI Match Summary
Nigeria in this Africa Cup of Nations 2023 tie, finishing 0-10. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nigeria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nigeria lately — more wins on the board than Sao Tome and Principe.
- Model gives Nigeria a 90% chance of winning this.
- Nigeria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nigeria, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sao Tome and Principe Clean Sheet 10%
Nigeria Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Tome and Principe | Nigeria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 22 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Nigeria vs Sao Tome and Principe
6:0
Jun 13, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Sao Tome and Principe vs Nigeria
0:10
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Tome and Principe Compare
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Nigeria Compare
Top Goalscorer Osimhen V.
4 Goals Assists Leader Moffi T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Tome and Principe 10 / 100
Nigeria 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Tome and Principe Nigeria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NGA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 8.00 goals.
Nigeria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Sao Tome and Principe scored in 41% of their last 29 games.
Sao Tome and Principe has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sao Tome and Principe VS Nigeria
0 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Tome and Principe
(Home) 31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3 Ethiopia
13 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
1 : 0 Malawi
10 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 6 Tunisia
09 Sept
Namibia
3 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
Page 1 of 6
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3 Ethiopia
13 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
1 : 0 Malawi
10 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 6 Tunisia
04 Sept
Sao Tome and Principe
2 : 3 Equatorial Guinea
09 Jun
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 1 Liberia
Page 1 of 3
Nigeria
(Away) 10 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1 Nigeria
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2 Nigeria
30 May
Jamaica
0 : 3 Nigeria
26 May
Nigeria
2 : 0 Zimbabwe
31 Mar
Jordan
2 : 2 Nigeria
Page 1 of 6
10 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1 Nigeria
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2 Nigeria
30 May
Jamaica
0 : 3 Nigeria
31 Mar
Jordan
2 : 2 Nigeria
27 Mar
Iran
1 : 2 Nigeria
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Guinea Bissau | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 5 |
| 4 | Sao Tome and Principe | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:26 | 1 |
| 5 | Mauritius | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Togo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 4 | Eswatini | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameroon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 3 | Burundi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Kenya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Guinea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Malawi | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ghana | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Angola | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Central Africa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Madagascar | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Tanzania | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Uganda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Niger | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mali | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Gambia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Congo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 7 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zambia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Comoros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Lesotho | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D.R. Congo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Mauritania | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Gabon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Sudan | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:10 | 6 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tunisia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Botswana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Libya | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Liberia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | 1 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Mozambique | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 3 | Benin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 4 | Rwanda | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)