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Sao Vicente vs Jacarei FC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2012
Sao Vicente Logo

Sao Vicente

2 - 0
FT
Jacarei FC Logo

Jacarei FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sao Vicente play Jacarei FC in the Paulista A4 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Vicente averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Jacarei FC averaged 0.9 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Vicente won 1, Jacarei FC won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 23, 2013 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Sao Vicente and 0.93 for Jacarei FC. This points to a Jacarei FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sao Vicente
31%
Draws
48%
Jacarei FC
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Jacarei FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Sao Vicente picked up more points recently compared to Jacarei FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Sao Vicente Clean Sheet 24%
Jacarei FC Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Vicente Jacarei FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.8 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2013 Paulista A3
Jacarei FC vs Sao Vicente
2:0
Sep 26, 2012 Paulista A4
Sao Vicente vs Jacarei FC
2:0
Sep 12, 2012 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs Sao Vicente
1:1
Aug 5, 2012 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs Sao Vicente
0:0
Jul 15, 2012 Paulista A4
Sao Vicente vs Jacarei FC
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Vicente 24 / 100
Jacarei FC 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Vicente Jacarei FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jacarei FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +23.2%
3.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Vicente attacking → ← attacking Jacarei FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Vicente scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Jacarei FC let in goals in 45% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Sao Vicente went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Jacarei FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 47
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Votuporanguense64206:014
2Novorizontino62316:69
3Fernandopolis62133:47
4Olimpia FC60243:82
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Vicente63128:710
2Jacarei FC62318:59
3Jose Bonifacio EC62226:68
4SC Barueri62048:126