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Saoura vs El Bayadh

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mebarki F.
30' Event
Akacem R.
46'
Sub
Chelali A. In: Dahamni K.
Out: Chelali A.

AI Match Summary

Saoura in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saoura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Saoura
35%
Draws
13%
El Bayadh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saoura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • El Bayadh haven't matched Saoura's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Saoura a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Saoura Clean Sheet 68%
El Bayadh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saoura El Bayadh
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 2
Draws 5 11
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.32 0.59
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 0.47
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs Saoura
0:0
Dec 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Saoura vs El Bayadh
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs Saoura
1:0
Oct 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Saoura vs El Bayadh
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs Saoura
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saoura Compare

Top Goalscorer Mebarki F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akacem R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

El Bayadh Compare

Top Goalscorer Keniche M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saoura 68 / 100
El Bayadh 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saoura El Bayadh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saoura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saoura scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

El Bayadh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Saoura has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

El Bayadh's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saoura VS El Bayadh
1.75 Goals Scored 0.57
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Saoura

(Home)
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1
Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0
Horoya
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Saoura
06 Aug
Harrach
1 : 1
Saoura
05 Jun
Saoura
3 : 1
Constantine
Page 1 of 6

El Bayadh

(Away)
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
20 May
El Bayadh
0 : 0
Saoura
08 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
El Bayadh
17 Apr
El Bayadh
0 : 1
Paradou
09 Apr
MC Alger
3 : 0
El Bayadh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)