Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saoura vs ES Ben Aknoun

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 20 August Stadium, Bechar
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Lakehal C.
65'
Sub
Selmi H. In: Matallah S.
Out: Selmi H.
65'
Sub
Bedi G. In: Yusuf A.
Out: Bedi G.

AI Match Summary

Saoura in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saoura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Saoura
35%
Draws
38%
ES Ben Aknoun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ES Ben Aknoun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Saoura have won more games recently than ES Ben Aknoun.
  • Model gives ES Ben Aknoun a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Saoura Clean Sheet 16%
ES Ben Aknoun Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saoura ES Ben Aknoun
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Club Friendly
ES Ben Aknoun vs Saoura
2:2
Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 1
Saoura vs ES Ben Aknoun
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Ligue 1
ES Ben Aknoun vs Saoura
1:1
Feb 23, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Ben Aknoun vs Saoura
2:0
Sep 30, 2023 Ligue 1
Saoura vs ES Ben Aknoun
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saoura Compare

Top Goalscorer Fettouhi N. E. I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

ES Ben Aknoun Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saoura 28 / 100
ES Ben Aknoun 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saoura ES Ben Aknoun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ES Ben Aknoun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saoura scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

ES Ben Aknoun let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Saoura stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saoura VS ES Ben Aknoun
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saoura

(Home)
22 Sept
Biskra
0 : 0
Saoura
18 Sept
JS El Biar
4 : 0
Saoura
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1
Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0
Horoya
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Saoura
Page 1 of 6

ES Ben Aknoun

(Away)
18 Sept
Khenchela
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
10 Sept
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Biskra
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Saoura
06 Jun
Olympique Akbou
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)