Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saoura vs Oran

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 20 August 1955 Stadium, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Yusuf A.
36'
Embarek O.
54'
Allaoui K.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Saoura and Oran finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saoura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Saoura
30%
Draws
33%
Oran
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saoura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Very High Confidence
  • Saoura carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Saoura's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Saoura Clean Sheet 68%
Oran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saoura Oran
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Oran
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs Saoura
1:1
Feb 12, 2025 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Oran
2:0
Sep 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Oran vs Saoura
2:0
Feb 17, 2024 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Oran
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saoura Compare

Top Goalscorer Yusuf A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bentaleb O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Oran Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saoura 95 / 100
Oran 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saoura Oran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saoura went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Saoura's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Oran has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Saoura VS Oran
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saoura

(Home)
05 Jun
Saoura
3 : 1
Constantine
20 May
El Bayadh
0 : 0
Saoura
12 May
Saoura
0 : 0
CR Belouizdad
07 May
Mostaganem
0 : 4
Saoura
17 Apr
Saoura
3 : 0
Khenchela
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Oran

(Away)
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
20 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Oran
07 May
Oran
1 : 0
ASO Chlef
29 Apr
Kabylie
1 : 2
Oran
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)