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Saoura vs Oran - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 20 August 1955 Stadium, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Yusuf A.
36'
Embarek O.
54'
Allaoui K.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Saoura and Oran finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saoura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Saoura
35%
Draws
45%
Oran
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Saoura carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Oran's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Saoura Clean Sheet 19%
Oran Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saoura Oran
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Oran
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs Saoura
1:1
Feb 12, 2025 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Oran
2:0
Sep 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Oran vs Saoura
2:0
Feb 17, 2024 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Oran
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saoura Compare

Top Goalscorer Yusuf A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bentaleb O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Oran Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saoura 10 / 100
Oran 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saoura Oran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saoura scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Oran's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Saoura stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saoura VS Oran
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saoura

(Home)
08 Oct
Saoura
0 : 0
Olympique Akbou
22 Sept
Biskra
0 : 0
Saoura
18 Sept
JS El Biar
4 : 0
Saoura
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1
Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0
Horoya
Page 1 of 6

Oran

(Away)
08 Oct
Oran
0 : 0
ES Setif
18 Sept
ASO Chlef
0 : 1
Oran
11 Sept
Oran
2 : 0
CR Temouchent
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)