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SAP vs Willikies

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2022/2023 game between SAP and Willikies finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SAP
20%
Draws
40%
Willikies
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Willikies haven't matched SAP's recent run of results.
  • SAP are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
SAP Clean Sheet 10%
Willikies Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAP Willikies
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 2.1 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 ABFA Premier League
SAP vs Willikies
1:2
Mar 20, 2023 ABFA Premier League
SAP vs Willikies
3:3
Dec 28, 2013 ABFA Premier League
SAP vs Willikies
3:1
Dec 10, 2013 ABFA Premier League
SAP vs Willikies
5:1
Feb 18, 2013 ABFA Premier League
SAP vs Willikies
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAP 38 / 100
Willikies 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAP Willikies

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SAP scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Willikies let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Willikies lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SAP VS Willikies
1 Goals Scored 1
5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SAP

(Home)
05 May
SAP
1 : 5
Swetes
20 Apr
Garden Stars
1 : 1
SAP
14 Apr
Pigotts Bullets
4 : 1
SAP
08 Apr
All Saints United
1 : 0
SAP
31 Mar
SAP
1 : 2
Willikies
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Willikies

(Away)
30 Mar
Willikies
1 : 2
Green City
27 Mar
Aston Villa
5 : 3
Willikies
02 Mar
John Hughes
2 : 1
Willikies
15 Feb
Willikies
2 : 2
Greenbay Hoppers
08 Feb
Grenades
5 : 0
Willikies
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grenades 18 16 0 2 67:14 48
2 All Saints United 18 15 1 2 64:16 46
3 Aston Villa 18 12 1 5 46:24 37
4 Old Road 18 9 7 2 44:24 34
5 SAP 18 9 2 7 54:44 29
6 Swetes 18 8 4 6 29:34 28
7 Greenbay Hoppers 18 7 4 7 29:32 25
8 Ottos Rangers 18 8 1 9 30:40 25
9 Tryum 18 8 1 9 27:37 25
10 Willikies 18 7 3 8 32:29 24
11 Empire FC 18 7 3 8 42:42 24
12 Parham 18 7 3 8 32:36 24
13 Pigotts Bullets 18 6 5 7 21:26 23
14 Blue Jays 18 3 1 14 18:48 10
15 Liberta 18 1 3 14 22:67 6
16 Five Islands 18 0 3 15 15:59 3
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2022/2023 (Relegation)