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Saprissa vs Alianza

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF Central American Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Alianza have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Saprissa have conceded 1 and scored 1.88. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.44, favoring Saprissa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Saprissa
22%
Draws
18%
Alianza
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Saprissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Alianza haven't matched Saprissa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Saprissa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Saprissa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 16%
Alianza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saprissa Alianza
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 21 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saprissa 57 / 100
Alianza 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saprissa Alianza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saprissa scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Alianza conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Saprissa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Alianza registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saprissa VS Alianza
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Saprissa

(Home)
02 Aug
Saprissa
2 : 1
San Carlos
30 Jul
UMECIT
1 : 2
Saprissa
25 Jul
Saprissa
5 : 1
Zeledon
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
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Alianza

(Away)
01 Aug
Arabe Unido
0 : 1
Alianza
25 Jul
Alianza
0 : 0
UMECIT
23 May
Plaza Amador
3 : 2
Alianza
17 May
Veraguas
2 : 3
Alianza
10 May
Alianza
0 : 0
Veraguas
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
2 Alajuelense 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Luis Angel Firpo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Xelaju 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Plaza Amador 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Herediano 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Marathon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Esteli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Antigua 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Saprissa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Alianza 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 UMECIT 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Deportivo Mixco 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Motagua 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Municipal 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Cartagines 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 FAS 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Verdes 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)