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Saprissa vs Alianza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
Saprissa Logo

Saprissa

2 - 1
FT
Alianza Logo

Alianza

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Torres M.
30'
Williams N.
39'
Arboine K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Saprissa
30%
Draws
29%
Alianza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saprissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Alianza haven't matched Saprissa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Saprissa's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Saprissa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Saprissa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 17%
Alianza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saprissa Alianza
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 4 12
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.14 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Saprissa vs Alianza
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sinclair O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Garces J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saprissa 36 / 100
Alianza 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saprissa Alianza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saprissa scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Alianza conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Saprissa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saprissa VS Alianza
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saprissa

(Home)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
Page 1 of 6

Alianza

(Away)
04 Oct
Herrera
1 : 0
Alianza
29 Sept
Alianza
2 : 0
Independiente
19 Sept
Alianza
0 : 0
Union Deportivo Universitario
13 Sept
Veraguas
2 : 1
Alianza
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1
San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)