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Saprissa vs Cartagines

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Morera G. M.
13' Event
Brenes J.
31' Event
Hernandez A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Saprissa and Cartagines finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saprissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Saprissa
20%
Draws
52%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Cartagines haven't matched Saprissa's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 13%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saprissa Cartagines
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.13 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Cartagines vs Saprissa
3:2
Sep 10, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Saprissa vs Cartagines
2:2
Aug 16, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Cartagines
3:2
Mar 15, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Saprissa
2:1
Jan 26, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Cartagines
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenes J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cartagines Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barahona C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saprissa 31 / 100
Cartagines 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saprissa Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagines Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saprissa's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Cartagines conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Saprissa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saprissa VS Cartagines
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saprissa

(Home)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
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Cartagines

(Away)
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0
Herediano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Cartagines 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
3 Sporting FC 9 5 2 2 16:8 17
4 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
5 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
6 San Carlos 8 4 0 4 7:9 12
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)