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Saprissa vs Cartagines

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saprissa host Cartagines in the Primera Division. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Saprissa have averaged 2.25 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Cartagines's 1.43 scored and 0.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Saprissa have won 3 to Cartagines's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.41 xG vs 1.16) point toward Saprissa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Saprissa
33%
Draws
40%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cartagines haven't matched Saprissa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cartagines a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 20%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saprissa Cartagines
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 22 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Saprissa
2:1
Jan 26, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Cartagines
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Cartagines
2:1
Dec 12, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Saprissa
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Cartagines
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saprissa 28 / 100
Cartagines 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saprissa Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saprissa's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Cartagines let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Saprissa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saprissa VS Cartagines
2.25 Goals Scored 1.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.57
100% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Saprissa

(Home)
25 Jul
Saprissa
5 : 1
Zeledon
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0
Liberia
Page 1 of 8

Cartagines

(Away)
25 Jul
Cartagines
3 : 1
Inter San Carlos
10 May
Herediano
0 : 0
Cartagines
03 May
Cartagines
0 : 1
Herediano
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saprissa11005:13
2Cartagines11003:13
3Alajuelense10101:11
4Herediano10101:11
5Puntarenas FC10101:11
6Sporting FC10101:11
7San Carlos00000:00
8Escorpiones00000:00
9Inter San Carlos10011:30
10Zeledon10011:50
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)