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Saprissa vs Deportivo Mixco

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Williams N.
Assist: Torres G.
7' Event
Torres G.
Assist: Hernandez B.
32' Event
Waston K.
Assist: Torres M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Saprissa
15%
Draws
48%
Deportivo Mixco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Mixco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Saprissa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Saprissa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Saprissa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 10%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saprissa Deportivo Mixco
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Saprissa vs Deportivo Mixco
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saprissa 30 / 100
Deportivo Mixco 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saprissa Deportivo Mixco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saprissa's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Mixco conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Saprissa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saprissa VS Deportivo Mixco
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saprissa

(Home)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
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Deportivo Mixco

(Away)
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
09 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
05 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 0
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)