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Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Waston K.
45'
Torres M.
45' Event
Cordoba J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Saprissa and Puntarenas FC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Saprissa
6%
Draws
4%
Puntarenas FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saprissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Saprissa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Saprissa a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 20%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saprissa Puntarenas FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.25 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Saprissa
1:3
Jan 14, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC
2:1
Sep 11, 2025 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Saprissa
3:1
Apr 16, 2025 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Saprissa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzman D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Puntarenas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saprissa 85 / 100
Puntarenas FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saprissa Puntarenas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saprissa's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Puntarenas FC conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Saprissa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saprissa VS Puntarenas FC
2.25 Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.14
100% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Saprissa

(Home)
30 Jul
UMECIT
1 : 2
Saprissa
25 Jul
Saprissa
5 : 1
Zeledon
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
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Puntarenas FC

(Away)
24 Jul
Herediano
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
26 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Saprissa
24 Apr
Alajuelense
5 : 2
Puntarenas FC
19 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 2
Sporting FC
12 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 3
Puntarenas FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)