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Sarasota Paradise vs Sporting Jax

USA USA

USL Cup Premier Sports Campus, Lakewood Ranch, FL
Sarasota Paradise Logo

Sarasota Paradise

0 - 2
FT
Sporting Jax Logo

Sporting Jax

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Pedder R.
Assist: Sadlier K.
45'
Dudley E.
48'
Neville H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sarasota Paradise
20%
Draws
22%
Sporting Jax
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sarasota Paradise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Jax haven't matched Sarasota Paradise's recent run of results.
  • Sarasota Paradise are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sarasota Paradise have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sporting Jax, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 19%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarasota Paradise Sporting Jax
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.46 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 USL Cup
Sarasota Paradise vs Sporting Jax
0:2
Jul 18, 2025 USL League Two
Sarasota Paradise vs Sporting Jax
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarasota Paradise Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sporting Jax Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedder R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Qaq A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarasota Paradise 85 / 100
Sporting Jax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarasota Paradise Sporting Jax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarasota Paradise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Jax let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Sarasota Paradise found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sarasota Paradise remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarasota Paradise VS Sporting Jax
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarasota Paradise

(Home)
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3
Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0
Greenville Triumph
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1
Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Jax

(Away)
30 Sept
Miami FC
4 : 1
Sporting Jax
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4
Loudoun United
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3
Rhode Island
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2
Lexington
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spokane Velocity 4 3 0 1 6:6 9
2 Sacramento Republic 4 3 0 1 7:3 8
3 Athletic Club Boise 4 3 0 1 9:6 8
4 Oakland Roots 4 1 0 3 4:6 4
5 Las Vegas Lights 4 1 0 3 4:7 4
6 Monterey Bay 4 1 0 3 8:10 3
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colorado Springs 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 New Mexico 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 El Paso Locomotive 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
4 AV Alta FC 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Phoenix Rising 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
6 Orange County SC 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio FC 4 4 0 0 6:1 11
2 Birmingham Legion 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 One Knoxville 4 3 0 1 6:4 6
4 FC Tulsa 4 1 0 3 4:7 4
5 Corpus Christi FC 4 1 0 3 2:6 4
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 4 0 0 4 2:7 2
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louisville City 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Detroit City 4 2 0 2 4:4 8
3 Indy Eleven 4 3 0 1 7:4 7
4 Lexington 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Union Omaha 4 2 0 2 10:12 6
6 Forward Madison 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
7 Fort Wayne 4 0 0 4 6:12 1
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hartford Athletic 4 3 0 1 8:3 10
2 Rhode Island 4 3 0 1 7:3 7
3 Brooklyn FC 4 2 0 2 9:5 7
4 Portland Hearts of Pine 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
5 New York Cosmos 4 1 0 3 5:11 4
6 Westchester SC 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 4 4 0 0 8:4 10
2 Charleston 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4 2 0 2 6:3 8
4 Greenville Triumph 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
5 Loudoun United 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
6 Richmond Kickers 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Miami FC 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Sporting Jax 4 1 0 3 3:5 4
4 Sarasota Paradise 4 1 0 3 2:9 3
5 FC Naples 4 1 0 3 3:9 2
6 South Georgia Tormenta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams