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Saratov vs Tyumen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Gurtsiev B.
44' Event
Shpitalnyi V.
51' Event
Petrov M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Saratov and Tyumen finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saratov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Saratov
6%
Draws
4%
Tyumen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saratov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tyumen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Saratov taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Saratov have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Saratov Clean Sheet 16%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saratov Tyumen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Saratov vs Tyumen
5:2
May 4, 2025 FNL
Saratov vs Tyumen
1:0
Feb 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Tyumen vs Saratov
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 FNL
Tyumen vs Saratov
0:1
May 12, 2024 FNL
Saratov vs Tyumen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saratov Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurtsiev B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shpitalnyi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tyumen Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lutsev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saratov 84 / 100
Tyumen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saratov Tyumen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tyumen conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Saratov went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Tyumen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saratov VS Tyumen
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%